
Intrinsic models in the rSPDE package
David Bolin
2026-08-31
Source:vignettes/intrinsic.Rmd
intrinsic.RmdIntroduction
In this vignette we provide a brief introduction to the intrinsic
models implemented in the rSPDE package.
A fractional intrinsic model
A basic intrinsic model which is implemented in rSPDE is
defined as
where
and
is the dimension of the spatial domain.
To illustrate these models, we begin by defining a mesh over :
library(fmesher)
bnd <- fm_segm(rbind(c(0, 0), c(2, 0), c(2, 2), c(0, 2)), is.bnd = TRUE)
mesh_2d <- fm_mesh_2d(
boundary = bnd,
cutoff = 0.02,
max.edge = c(0.1)
)
plot(mesh_2d, main = "")
We now use the intrinsic.operators() function to
construct the rSPDE representation of the general
model.
library(rSPDE)
tau <- 0.2
beta <- 1.8
fem <- fm_fem(mesh_2d)
op <- intrinsic.operators(tau = tau, beta = beta, mesh = mesh_2d, m = 2)To see that the rSPDE model is approximating the true
model, we can compare the variogram of the approximation (implemented in
the function variogram in the model object) with the true
variogram (implemented in variogram.intrinsic.spde()) as
follows.
point <- matrix(c(1,1),1,2)
Gamma <- op$variogram(point)
vario <- variogram.intrinsic.spde(point, mesh_2d$loc[,1:2], tau = tau,
beta = beta, L = 2, d = 2)
d = sqrt((mesh_2d$loc[,1]-point[1])^2 + (mesh_2d$loc[,2]-point[2])^2)
plot(d, Gamma, xlim = c(0,0.7), ylim = c(0,3),
ylab = "variogram(h)", xlab = "h")
points(d,vario,col=2)
If we want to increase the accuracy, we can either use a finer mesh
or increase the order of the rational approximation through the argument
m in intrinsic.operators. The default value of
m is 1. We can now use the simulate function
to simulate a realization of the field
:
u <- simulate(op,nsim = 1)
proj <- fm_evaluator(mesh_2d, dims = c(100, 100))
field <- fm_evaluate(proj, field = as.vector(u))
field.df <- data.frame(x1 = proj$lattice$loc[,1],
x2 = proj$lattice$loc[,2],
y = as.vector(field))
library(ggplot2)
library(viridis)
#> Loading required package: viridisLite
ggplot(field.df, aes(x = x1, y = x2, fill = y)) +
geom_raster() +
scale_fill_viridis()
By default, the field is simulated with a zero-integral constraint.
Fitting the model with R-INLA
Let us now consider a simple Gaussian linear model where the spatial field is observed at locations, under Gaussian measurement noise. For each we have where are iid normally distributed with mean 0 and standard deviation 0.1.
To generate a data set y from this model, we first draw
some observation locations at random in the domain and then use the
spde.make.A() functions (that wraps the functions
fm_basis(), fm_block() and
fm_row_kron() of the fmesher package) to
construct the observation matrix which can be used to evaluate the
simulated field
at the observation locations. After this we simply add the measurment
noise.
n_loc <- 1000
loc_2d_mesh <- matrix(2*runif(n_loc * 2), n_loc, 2)
A <- spde.make.A(
mesh = mesh_2d,
loc = loc_2d_mesh
)
sigma.e <- 0.1
y <- A %*% u + rnorm(n_loc) * sigma.eThe generated data can be seen in the following image.
df <- data.frame(x1 = as.double(loc_2d_mesh[, 1]),
x2 = as.double(loc_2d_mesh[, 2]), y = as.double(y))
ggplot(df, aes(x = x1, y = x2, col = y)) +
geom_point() +
scale_color_viridis()
We will now fit the model using our R-INLA implementation of
the rational SPDE approach. Further details on this implementation can
be found in R-INLA implementation of the
rational SPDE approach.
library(INLA)
#>
rspde.order <- 2
mesh.index <- rspde.make.index(name = "field", mesh = mesh_2d, rspde.order = rspde.order)
Abar <- rspde.make.A(mesh = mesh_2d, loc = loc_2d_mesh, rspde.order = rspde.order)
st.dat <- inla.stack(data = list(y = as.vector(y)), A = Abar, effects = mesh.index)We now create the model object.
rspde_model <- rspde.intrinsic(mesh = mesh_2d, rspde.order = rspde.order)Finally, we create the formula and fit the model to the data:
f <- y ~ -1 + f(field, model = rspde_model)
rspde_fit <- inla(f,
data = inla.stack.data(st.dat),
family = "gaussian",
control.predictor = list(A = inla.stack.A(st.dat)))To compare the estimated parameters to the true parameters, we can do the following:
result_fit <- rspde.result(rspde_fit, "field", rspde_model)
summary(result_fit)
#> mean sd 0.025quant 0.5quant 0.975quant mode
#> tau 0.123248 0.022467 0.0811057 0.123005 0.168267 0.123693
#> nu 0.971314 0.066441 0.8550470 0.965873 1.113560 0.946492
tau <- op$tau
nu <- op$beta - 1 #beta = nu + d/2
result_df <- data.frame(
parameter = c("tau", "nu", "sigma.e"),
true = c(tau, nu, sigma.e),
mean = c(result_fit$summary.tau$mean,result_fit$summary.nu$mean,
sqrt(1/rspde_fit$summary.hyperpar[1,1])),
mode = c(result_fit$summary.tau$mode, result_fit$summary.nu$mode,
sqrt(1/rspde_fit$summary.hyperpar[1,6]))
)
print(result_df)
#> parameter true mean mode
#> 1 tau 0.2 0.12324840 0.12369344
#> 2 nu 0.8 0.97131352 0.94649215
#> 3 sigma.e 0.1 0.09760497 0.09796053Extreme value models
When used for extreme value statistics, one might want to use a
particular form of the mean value of the latent field
,
which is zero at one location
and is given by the diagonal of
for the remaining locations. This option can be specified via the
mean.correction argument of
rspde.intrinsic:
rspde_model2 <- rspde.intrinsic(mesh = mesh_2d, rspde.order = rspde.order,
mean.correction = TRUE)We can then fit this model as before:
f <- y ~ -1 + f(field, model = rspde_model2)
rspde_fit <- inla(f,
data = inla.stack.data(st.dat),
family = "gaussian",
control.predictor = list(A = inla.stack.A(st.dat)))To see the posterior distributions of the parameters we can do:
result_fit <- rspde.result(rspde_fit, "field", rspde_model2)
posterior_df_fit <- gg_df(result_fit)
ggplot(posterior_df_fit) + geom_line(aes(x = x, y = y)) +
facet_wrap(~parameter, scales = "free") + labs(y = "Density")
An example with replicates
Let us redo the previous example with replicated data to illustrate
that replicates are handled in the same way as any other
rSPDE model. We start by generating some data with 200
observations per replicate
set.seed(1)
tau <- 0.2
beta <- 1.9
op <- intrinsic.operators(tau = tau, beta = beta, mesh = mesh_2d)
n.rep <- 5
m <- 1000
loc_2d_mesh <- matrix(2*runif(m * 2), m, 2)
A <- spde.make.A(
mesh = mesh_2d,
loc = loc_2d_mesh,
index = rep(1:m, times = n.rep),
repl = rep(1:n.rep, each = m)
)
u <- simulate(op, nsim = n.rep)
y <- as.vector(A %*% as.vector(u)) +
rnorm(m * n.rep) * 0.1We now create the stack, A matrix and index and fit the model:
Abar.rep <- rspde.make.A(
mesh = mesh_2d, loc = loc_2d_mesh, index = rep(1:m, times = n.rep),
repl = rep(1:n.rep, each = m)
)
mesh.index.rep <- rspde.make.index(
name = "field", mesh = mesh_2d,
n.repl = n.rep
)
st.dat.rep <- inla.stack(
data = list(y = y),
A = Abar.rep,
effects = mesh.index.rep
)
rspde_model.rep <- rspde.intrinsic(mesh = mesh_2d, prior.nu.dist = "beta")
f.rep <-
y ~ -1 + f(field,
model = rspde_model.rep,
replicate = field.repl
)
rspde_fit.rep <-
inla(f.rep,
data = inla.stack.data(st.dat.rep),
family = "gaussian",
control.predictor =
list(A = inla.stack.A(st.dat.rep))
)We then compare with the true parameter estimates as before
result_fit <- rspde.result(rspde_fit.rep, "field", rspde_model.rep)
summary(result_fit)
#> mean sd 0.025quant 0.5quant 0.975quant mode
#> tau 0.177431 0.00871985 0.161062 0.177159 0.195290 0.176548
#> nu 0.924878 0.01158470 0.901979 0.924941 0.947478 0.925166
tau <- op$tau
nu <- op$beta - 1 #beta = nu + d/2
result_df <- data.frame(
parameter = c("tau", "nu", "sigma.e"),
true = c(tau, nu, sigma.e),
mean = c(result_fit$summary.tau$mean,result_fit$summary.nu$mean,
sqrt(1/rspde_fit.rep$summary.hyperpar[1,1])),
mode = c(result_fit$summary.tau$mode, result_fit$summary.nu$mode,
sqrt(1/rspde_fit.rep$summary.hyperpar[1,6]))
)
print(result_df)
#> parameter true mean mode
#> 1 tau 0.2 0.17743102 0.1765481
#> 2 nu 0.9 0.92487786 0.9251665
#> 3 sigma.e 0.1 0.09996625 0.1000477To see the posterior distributions of the parameters we can do:
result_fit <- rspde.result(rspde_fit.rep, "field", rspde_model.rep)
posterior_df_fit <- gg_df(result_fit)
ggplot(posterior_df_fit) + geom_line(aes(x = x, y = y)) +
facet_wrap(~parameter, scales = "free") + labs(y = "Density")
A more general model
The rSPDE package also contains a partial implementation
of a more general intrinsic model, which we refer to as an intrinsic
Matérn model. The model is defined as
where
and
is the dimension of the spatial domain. These models are handled by
performing two rational approximations, one for each fractional
operator.
To illustrate this model, we consider the same mesh as before and use
the intrinsic.matern.operators() function to construct the
rSPDE representation of the general model.
bnd <- fm_segm(rbind(c(0, 0), c(2, 0), c(2, 2), c(0, 2)), is.bnd = TRUE)
mesh_2d <- fm_mesh_2d(
boundary = bnd,
cutoff = 0.01,
max.edge = c(0.05)
)
kappa <- 10
tau <- 0.0025
alpha <- 2
beta <- 1
op <- intrinsic.matern.operators(kappa = kappa, tau = tau, alpha = alpha,
beta = beta, mesh = mesh_2d)To see that the rSPDE model is approximating the true
model, we can compare the variogram of the approximation with the true
variogram (implemented in variogram.intrinsic.spde()) as
follows.
point <- matrix(c(1,1),1,2)
Gamma <- op$variogram(point)
vario <- variogram.intrinsic.spde(point, mesh_2d$loc[,1:2], kappa = kappa,
alpha = alpha, tau = tau,
beta = beta, L = 2, d = 2)
d = sqrt((mesh_2d$loc[,1]-point[1])^2 + (mesh_2d$loc[,2]-point[2])^2)
plot(d, Gamma, xlim = c(0,0.5), ylim = c(0,4),
ylab = "variogram(h)", xlab = "h")
lines(sort(d),sort(vario),col=2, lwd = 2)
We can now use the simulate function to simulate a
realization of the field
:
u <- simulate(op,nsim = 1, use_kl = FALSE)
proj <- fm_evaluator(mesh_2d, dims = c(100, 100))
field <- fm_evaluate(proj, field = as.vector(u))
field.df <- data.frame(x1 = proj$lattice$loc[,1],
x2 = proj$lattice$loc[,2],
y = as.vector(field))
library(ggplot2)
library(viridis)
ggplot(field.df, aes(x = x1, y = x2, fill = y)) +
geom_raster() +
scale_fill_viridis()
By default, the field is simulated with a zero-integral constraint.
Fitting the model with R-INLA
We will now fit the model using our R-INLA implementation of
the rational SPDE approach. Further details on this implementation can
be found in R-INLA implementation of the
rational SPDE approach.
We begin by simulating some data as before.
n_loc <- 2000
loc_2d_mesh <- matrix(2*runif(n_loc * 2), n_loc, 2)
A <- spde.make.A(
mesh = mesh_2d,
loc = loc_2d_mesh
)
sigma.e <- 0.1
y <- A %*% u + rnorm(n_loc) * sigma.eThe generated data can be seen in the following image.
df <- data.frame(x1 = as.double(loc_2d_mesh[, 1]),
x2 = as.double(loc_2d_mesh[, 2]), y = as.double(y))
ggplot(df, aes(x = x1, y = x2, col = y)) +
geom_point() +
scale_color_viridis()
To fit the model, we create the
matrix, the index, and the inla.stack object. For now,
these more general models can only be estimated with
and
or
.
For these non-fractional models, we can use the standard INLA functions
to make the required elements.
mesh.index <- inla.spde.make.index(name = "field", n.spde = mesh_2d$n)
st.dat <- inla.stack(data = list(y = as.vector(y)), A = A, effects = mesh.index)We now create the model object.
rspde_model <- rspde.intrinsic.matern(mesh = mesh_2d, alpha = alpha)Finally, we create the formula and fit the model to the data:
f <- y ~ -1 + f(field, model = rspde_model)
rspde_fit <- inla(f,
data = inla.stack.data(st.dat),
family = "gaussian",
control.predictor = list(A = inla.stack.A(st.dat)))We can get a summary of the fit:
summary(rspde_fit)
#> Time used:
#> Pre = 0.0939, Running = 11.6, Post = 0.0355, Total = 11.7
#> Random effects:
#> Name Model
#> field CGeneric
#>
#> Model hyperparameters:
#> mean sd 0.025quant 0.5quant
#> Precision for the Gaussian observations 100.68 4.483 92.10 100.60
#> Theta1 for field -5.98 0.048 -6.07 -5.98
#> Theta2 for field 2.35 0.086 2.17 2.35
#> 0.975quant mode
#> Precision for the Gaussian observations 109.75 100.46
#> Theta1 for field -5.88 -5.98
#> Theta2 for field 2.51 2.35
#>
#> Marginal log-Likelihood: 727.86
#> is computed
#> Posterior summaries for the linear predictor and the fitted values are computed
#> (Posterior marginals needs also 'control.compute=list(return.marginals.predictor=TRUE)')To get a summary of the fit of the random field only, we can do the following:
result_fit <- rspde.result(rspde_fit, "field", rspde_model)
summary(result_fit)
#> mean sd 0.025quant 0.5quant 0.975quant mode
#> tau 0.00253195 0.000121309 0.00230574 0.00252657 0.0027821 0.00251448
#> kappa 10.48820000 0.897222000 8.79285000 10.46930000 12.3121000 10.45360000
tau <- op$tau
result_df <- data.frame(
parameter = c("tau", "kappa"),
true = c(tau, kappa), mean = c(result_fit$summary.tau$mean,
result_fit$summary.kappa$mean),
mode = c(result_fit$summary.tau$mode, result_fit$summary.kappa$mode)
)
print(result_df)
#> parameter true mean mode
#> 1 tau 0.0025 0.002531947 0.002514478
#> 2 kappa 10.0000 10.488207399 10.453552282Kriging with R-INLA implementation
Let us now obtain predictions (i.e., do kriging) of the latent field on a dense grid in the region.
We begin by creating the grid of locations where we want to compute
the predictions. To this end, we can use the
rspde.mesh.projector() function. This function has the same
arguments as the function inla.mesh.projector() the only
difference being that the rSPDE version also has an argument
nu and an argument rspde.order. Thus, we
proceed in the same fashion as we would in R-INLA’s standard SPDE
implementation:
projgrid <- inla.mesh.projector(mesh_2d,
xlim = c(0, 2),
ylim = c(0, 2)
)
#> Warning: `inla.mesh.projector()` was deprecated in INLA 23.06.07.
#> ℹ Please use `fmesher::fm_evaluator()` instead.
#> ℹ For more information, see
#> https://inlabru-org.github.io/fmesher/articles/inla_conversion.html
#> ℹ To silence these deprecation messages in old legacy code, set
#> `inla.setOption(fmesher.evolution.warn = FALSE)`.
#> ℹ To ensure visibility of these messages in package tests, also set
#> `inla.setOption(fmesher.evolution.verbosity = 'warn')`.
#> This warning is displayed once per session.
#> Call `lifecycle::last_lifecycle_warnings()` to see where this warning was
#> generated.This lattice contains 100 × 100 locations (the default). Let us now calculate the predictions jointly with the estimation. To this end, first, we begin by linking the prediction coordinates to the mesh nodes through an matrix
A.prd <- projgrid$proj$AWe now make a stack for the prediction locations. We have no data at
the prediction locations, so we set y= NA. We then join
this stack with the estimation stack.
ef.prd <- list(c(mesh.index))
st.prd <- inla.stack(
data = list(y = NA),
A = list(A.prd), tag = "prd",
effects = ef.prd
)
st.all <- inla.stack(st.dat, st.prd)Doing the joint estimation takes a while, and we therefore turn off
the computation of certain things that we are not interested in, such as
the marginals for the random effect. We will also use a simplified
integration strategy (actually only using the posterior mode of the
hyper-parameters) through the command
control.inla = list(int.strategy = "eb"), i.e. empirical
Bayes:
rspde_fitprd <- inla(f,
family = "Gaussian",
data = inla.stack.data(st.all),
control.predictor = list(
A = inla.stack.A(st.all),
compute = TRUE, link = 1
),
control.compute = list(
return.marginals = FALSE,
return.marginals.predictor = FALSE
),
control.inla = list(int.strategy = "eb")
)We then extract the indices to the prediction nodes and then extract the mean and the standard deviation of the response:
id.prd <- inla.stack.index(st.all, "prd")$data
m.prd <- matrix(rspde_fitprd$summary.fitted.values$mean[id.prd], 100, 100)
sd.prd <- matrix(rspde_fitprd$summary.fitted.values$sd[id.prd], 100, 100)Finally, we plot the results. First the mean:
field.pred.df <- data.frame(x1 = projgrid$lattice$loc[,1],
x2 = projgrid$lattice$loc[,2],
y = as.vector(m.prd))
ggplot(field.pred.df, aes(x = x1, y = x2, fill = y)) +
geom_raster() + scale_fill_viridis()
Then, the marginal standard deviations:
field.pred.sd.df <- data.frame(x1 = proj$lattice$loc[,1],
x2 = proj$lattice$loc[,2],
sd = as.vector(sd.prd))
ggplot(field.pred.sd.df, aes(x = x1, y = x2, fill = sd)) +
geom_raster() + scale_fill_viridis()
Using intrinsic models without R-INLA
Currently, the more general model is only implemented in
R-INLA using fixed integer values of the smoothness
parameters. However, all intrinsic models are implemented in
rSPDE in full generality. In this section, we illustrate
the rSPDE interface. Let us test a model in one
dimension.
Let us start with generating the model
L = 20
x <- seq(from = 0, to = L, length.out = 101)
mesh <- fm_mesh_1d(x)
beta <- 1.1
alpha <- 0
kappa <- 10
tau <- 10
op <- intrinsic.matern.operators(kappa = kappa, tau = tau, alpha = alpha,
beta = beta, mesh = mesh, d = 1)
vario <- variogram.intrinsic.spde(c(L/2), mesh$loc, tau = tau,
beta = beta, alpha = alpha, kappa = kappa, L = L, d = 1)
plot(x, vario, type = "l", col = 2, lwd = 2)
points(x,op$variogram(L/2),col=1)
We now generate some data. The option to use a mean value correction for extremes models is also implemented, so we generate some data using this.
n.rep <- 100
u <- simulate(op,nsim = n.rep, integral.constraint = FALSE, use_kl = TRUE)
drift <- op$mean_correction()
u <- u + matrix(rep(drift, times = n.rep), nrow = op$n, ncol= n.rep)
sigma.e <- 0.01
n.obs <- 300
obs.loc <- runif(n = n.obs, min = 0, max = L)
A <- rSPDE.A1d(x, obs.loc)
Y <- as.matrix(A %*% u + sigma.e * matrix(rnorm(n.obs*n.rep),n.obs,n.rep))Let us now show how to do kriging prediction for this model.
A <- make_A(op, loc = obs.loc)
A.krig <- make_A(op, loc = x)
u.krig <- predict(op,
A = A, Aprd = A.krig, Y = Y[,1], sigma.e = sigma.e,
compute.variances = TRUE
)
plot(obs.loc, Y[,1],
ylab = "u(x)", xlab = "x", main = "Data and prediction",
ylim = c(
min(c(min(u.krig$mean - 2 * sqrt(u.krig$variance)),min(u[,1]))),
max(c(max(u.krig$mean + 2 * sqrt(u.krig$variance)), max(u[,1])))
)
)
lines(x,u[,1],col=3)
lines(x, u.krig$mean)
lines(x, u.krig$mean + 2 * sqrt(u.krig$variance), col = 2)
lines(x, u.krig$mean - 2 * sqrt(u.krig$variance), col = 2)
We now use rspde_lme to fit the parameters based on this
data. Since we generated data with alpha=0, we specify this
in the function to indicate that this parameter should not be fitted but
kept fixed at alpha=0 by setting fix_alpha=0
in model_options. We also specify
mean_correction=TRUE to indicate that we should use the
mean value correction when fitting.
data = data.frame(y = c(Y), loc = rep(obs.loc, n.rep), rep = rep(1:n.rep, each = n.obs))
fit <- rspde_lme(y ~ -1, loc = "loc", repl = "rep", data = data,
model = op, mean_correction = TRUE, parallel = TRUE,
model_options = list(fix_alpha = 0))
rbind(c(fit$coeff$random_effects[c("beta", "tau")], fit$coeff$measurement_error),
c(beta, tau, sigma.e))
#> beta tau std. dev
#> [1,] 1.124194 9.776033 0.009983577
#> [2,] 1.100000 10.000000 0.010000000An example with estimated alpha and beta parameters
In the previous example, we fixed the alpha parameter and only estimated beta. Now, let us demonstrate how to estimate both alpha and beta simultaneously. We will set up a new model with different parameter values:
L = 20
x <- seq(from = 0, to = L, length.out = 101)
mesh <- fm_mesh_1d(x)
beta <- 1.2
alpha <- 0.3
kappa <- 15
tau <- 7
op <- intrinsic.matern.operators(kappa = kappa, tau = tau, alpha = alpha,
beta = beta, mesh = mesh, d = 1)
vario <- variogram.intrinsic.spde(c(L/2), mesh$loc, tau = tau,
beta = beta, alpha = alpha, kappa = kappa, L = L, d = 1)
plot(x, vario, type = "l", col = 2, lwd = 2)
points(x, op$variogram(L/2), col = 1)
We can note here that the variogram of the approximate model is not
particularly close to the variogram of the true continuous model. The
reason for this is that the value of alpha is very small,
and we therefore need a larger order of the rational approximation than
the default value of 2. We can adjust the orders of the rational
approximations through the m_alpha and m_beta
values in intrinsic.matern.operators. Let us increase the
value of m_alpha and decrease the value of
m_beta.
op <- intrinsic.matern.operators(kappa = kappa, tau = tau, alpha = alpha,
beta = beta, mesh = mesh, d = 1, m_alpha = 6,
m_beta = 1)
vario <- variogram.intrinsic.spde(c(L/2), mesh$loc, tau = tau,
beta = beta, alpha = alpha, kappa = kappa, L = L, d = 1)
plot(x, vario, type = "l", col = 2, lwd = 2)
points(x, op$variogram(L/2), col = 1)
We now have a better approximation. Similar to the previous example, we will generate data with the mean value correction for extremes models:
n.rep <- 100
u <- simulate(op, nsim = n.rep, integral.constraint = FALSE, use_kl = TRUE)
drift <- op$mean_correction()
u <- u + matrix(rep(drift, times = n.rep), nrow = op$n, ncol = n.rep)
sigma.e <- 0.015
n.obs <- 300
obs.loc <- runif(n = n.obs, min = 0, max = L)
A <- rSPDE.A1d(x, obs.loc)
Y <- as.matrix(A %*% u + sigma.e * matrix(rnorm(n.obs*n.rep), n.obs, n.rep))Let’s visualize the data and predictions for this model:
A <- make_A(op, loc = obs.loc)
A.krig <- make_A(op, loc = x)
u.krig <- predict(op,
A = A, Aprd = A.krig, Y = Y[,1], sigma.e = sigma.e,
compute.variances = TRUE
)
plot(obs.loc, Y[,1],
ylab = "u(x)", xlab = "x", main = "Data and prediction with fractional alpha and beta",
ylim = c(
min(c(min(u.krig$mean - 2 * sqrt(u.krig$variance)), min(u[,1]))),
max(c(max(u.krig$mean + 2 * sqrt(u.krig$variance)), max(u[,1])))
)
)
lines(x, u[,1], col = 3)
lines(x, u.krig$mean)
lines(x, u.krig$mean + 2 * sqrt(u.krig$variance), col = 2)
lines(x, u.krig$mean - 2 * sqrt(u.krig$variance), col = 2)
Now, we will use rspde_lme to fit the parameters but
this time we will not fix alpha, allowing both alpha and beta to be
estimated. Unlike the previous example where we set
fix_alpha=0, we do not include this constraint:
data = data.frame(y = c(Y), loc = rep(obs.loc, n.rep), rep = rep(1:n.rep, each = n.obs))
op <- intrinsic.matern.operators(kappa = kappa, tau = tau, alpha = 1.3, beta = 1.05, mesh = mesh, d = 1, m_alpha = 3, m_beta = 1)
fit <- rspde_lme(y ~ -1, loc = "loc", repl = "rep", data = data,
model = op, mean_correction = TRUE, parallel = FALSE)
#> alpha = 1.3 , tau = 7 , beta = 1.05 , sigma_e = 0.01594345 , lik = -19712.32 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 1.3 , tau = 7 , beta = 1.05 , sigma_e = 0.01594345 , lik = -19712.32 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 1.3 , tau = 10.58863 , beta = 1.05 , sigma_e = 0.01594345 , lik = -87316.1 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 1.3 , tau = 7 , beta = 1.05 , sigma_e = 0.01594345 , lik = -114617 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 1.96646 , tau = 7 , beta = 1.05 , sigma_e = 0.01594345 , lik = -673790.5 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 1.3 , tau = 7 , beta = 1.588295 , sigma_e = 0.01594345 , lik = 11672.99 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 1.3 , tau = 7 , beta = 1.05 , sigma_e = 0.02411705 , lik = 3191.202 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.8594124 , tau = 8.26028 , beta = 1.239042 , sigma_e = 0.01881391 , lik = 52555.98 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.5681458 , tau = 8.973112 , beta = 1.345967 , sigma_e = 0.02043749 , lik = 66531.23 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.9335766 , tau = 9.122897 , beta = 1.368435 , sigma_e = 0.02077864 , lik = 57317.98 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 1.014141 , tau = 8.538353 , beta = 1.280753 , sigma_e = 0.01944726 , lik = 47675.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 1.157752 , tau = 9.062685 , beta = 1.151997 , sigma_e = 0.01749221 , lik = 8955.246 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.7807311 , tau = 9.530452 , beta = 1.578857 , sigma_e = 0.02397375 , lik = 60314.43 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.8868741 , tau = 8.822865 , beta = 1.425786 , sigma_e = 0.02164948 , lik = 55448.65 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.6366852 , tau = 10.78251 , beta = 1.858678 , sigma_e = 0.01581098 , lik = 61375.88 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.7610784 , tau = 9.678638 , beta = 1.611389 , sigma_e = 0.01757115 , lik = 59135.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.5628285 , tau = 8.92783 , beta = 2.051366 , sigma_e = 0.02093554 , lik = 65711.28 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.6740405 , tau = 8.961355 , beta = 1.775805 , sigma_e = 0.02001586 , lik = 65066.58 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3586093 , tau = 12.73984 , beta = 1.789585 , sigma_e = 0.02561338 , lik = 67465.53 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.1883478 , tau = 17.18687 , beta = 1.990638 , sigma_e = 0.03246454 , lik = 63971.26 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3405678 , tau = 11.17228 , beta = 2.2202 , sigma_e = 0.02136841 , lik = 66395.13 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.4382179 , tau = 10.62037 , beta = 1.92206 , sigma_e = 0.02121941 , lik = 67617.75 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3232417 , tau = 11.1679 , beta = 2.083994 , sigma_e = 0.01763813 , lik = 67027.04 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.4029684 , tau = 10.73388 , beta = 1.916267 , sigma_e = 0.01904466 , lik = 68707.49 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3300978 , tau = 9.853262 , beta = 1.776166 , sigma_e = 0.0288108 , lik = 66673.59 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3890122 , tau = 10.07778 , beta = 1.776944 , sigma_e = 0.0247974 , lik = 68172.67 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3221263 , tau = 12.49112 , beta = 1.517014 , sigma_e = 0.02328299 , lik = 68669.69 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3703511 , tau = 11.48517 , beta = 1.619457 , sigma_e = 0.02267254 , lik = 68708.92 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2689081 , tau = 13.71772 , beta = 2.356651 , sigma_e = 0.02486134 , lik = 66018.96 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.471244 , tau = 9.97764 , beta = 1.537599 , sigma_e = 0.02146356 , lik = 68171.25 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.475217 , tau = 8.76207 , beta = 1.700318 , sigma_e = 0.01848327 , lik = 68719.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.5470503 , tau = 7.266547 , beta = 1.689376 , sigma_e = 0.01570127 , lik = 66199.06 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.4017021 , tau = 9.732359 , beta = 1.521985 , sigma_e = 0.02111206 , lik = 69715.16 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3846016 , tau = 9.3166 , beta = 1.360867 , sigma_e = 0.02105859 , lik = 70386.14 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3443931 , tau = 10.0791 , beta = 1.781244 , sigma_e = 0.0207135 , lik = 70240.17 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3724795 , tau = 10.05364 , beta = 1.723138 , sigma_e = 0.02089852 , lik = 69910.29 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3973504 , tau = 9.979462 , beta = 1.560618 , sigma_e = 0.01668353 , lik = 69971.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3952493 , tau = 10.00395 , beta = 1.612145 , sigma_e = 0.01842118 , lik = 70092.89 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3806326 , tau = 9.109217 , beta = 1.357759 , sigma_e = 0.02143574 , lik = 70016.66 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3860977 , tau = 9.490739 , beta = 1.477279 , sigma_e = 0.0208112 , lik = 69965.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.4187166 , tau = 7.759573 , beta = 1.485738 , sigma_e = 0.01760625 , lik = 71145.59 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.4452188 , tau = 6.37805 , beta = 1.418411 , sigma_e = 0.01551494 , lik = 71617.25 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3179175 , tau = 8.957795 , beta = 1.332092 , sigma_e = 0.02013616 , lik = 71681.14 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2600313 , tau = 9.057291 , beta = 1.192711 , sigma_e = 0.02101723 , lik = 71759.55 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3408069 , tau = 8.596738 , beta = 1.560212 , sigma_e = 0.0172263 , lik = 72328.65 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.322485 , tau = 8.351414 , beta = 1.667689 , sigma_e = 0.01544254 , lik = 72763.62 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.302551 , tau = 7.282467 , beta = 1.343171 , sigma_e = 0.01867985 , lik = 72851.33 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2647052 , tau = 6.213439 , beta = 1.234156 , sigma_e = 0.01881055 , lik = 72744.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3296954 , tau = 6.347041 , beta = 1.093949 , sigma_e = 0.01593989 , lik = 73739.58 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3225834 , tau = 5.036701 , beta = 0.8736344 , sigma_e = 0.01398304 , lik = 73086.99 nz = 0 , nz.p = 0
#> alpha = 0.2775856 , tau = 5.889264 , beta = 1.29212 , sigma_e = 0.01402594 , lik = 73706.24 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3011622 , tau = 6.604807 , beta = 1.31001 , sigma_e = 0.01552588 , lik = 73756.12 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.205081 , tau = 8.723673 , beta = 1.19511 , sigma_e = 0.01904292 , lik = 72726.83 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2489358 , tau = 8.066711 , beta = 1.249741 , sigma_e = 0.01809205 , lik = 73179.41 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2790896 , tau = 8.124859 , beta = 1.253174 , sigma_e = 0.01872405 , lik = 72856.18 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2626079 , tau = 6.291134 , beta = 0.9621539 , sigma_e = 0.01946267 , lik = 71909.36 nz = 0 , nz.p = 0
#> alpha = 0.3063438 , tau = 7.780406 , beta = 1.438104 , sigma_e = 0.01636212 , lik = 73320.33 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2813085 , tau = 7.407981 , beta = 1.193035 , sigma_e = 0.01525928 , lik = 73822.31 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2712532 , tau = 7.471546 , beta = 1.127269 , sigma_e = 0.0137916 , lik = 73667.04 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3059239 , tau = 6.39906 , beta = 1.25082 , sigma_e = 0.01402689 , lik = 73714.26 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2989826 , tau = 6.792679 , beta = 1.251587 , sigma_e = 0.01507721 , lik = 73815.56 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3690567 , tau = 6.016907 , beta = 1.245584 , sigma_e = 0.01349606 , lik = 73240.41 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3344581 , tau = 6.474469 , beta = 1.249986 , sigma_e = 0.01452202 , lik = 73667.68 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3106164 , tau = 5.796267 , beta = 1.035978 , sigma_e = 0.01422755 , lik = 73602.25 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3095427 , tau = 6.238955 , beta = 1.122639 , sigma_e = 0.01473355 , lik = 73814.57 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2758312 , tau = 6.86293 , beta = 1.138624 , sigma_e = 0.01612332 , lik = 73696.8 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2894463 , tau = 6.763682 , beta = 1.164829 , sigma_e = 0.01570716 , lik = 73794.28 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.265616 , tau = 7.181037 , beta = 1.322142 , sigma_e = 0.01460297 , lik = 73775.07 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2803619 , tau = 6.962788 , beta = 1.263818 , sigma_e = 0.0149263 , lik = 73819.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2825752 , tau = 7.048027 , beta = 1.099394 , sigma_e = 0.01475804 , lik = 73795.05 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2871115 , tau = 6.934509 , beta = 1.147294 , sigma_e = 0.01494637 , lik = 73833.16 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.293062 , tau = 6.951483 , beta = 1.225309 , sigma_e = 0.01430087 , lik = 73756.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.290346 , tau = 6.810151 , beta = 1.179564 , sigma_e = 0.01534313 , lik = 73830.99 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2671069 , tau = 7.80489 , beta = 1.292076 , sigma_e = 0.01549514 , lik = 73765.94 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2983402 , tau = 6.598202 , beta = 1.164088 , sigma_e = 0.01492036 , lik = 73837.26 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2763033 , tau = 7.08584 , beta = 1.13115 , sigma_e = 0.01507874 , lik = 73825.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2818065 , tau = 7.011384 , beta = 1.159486 , sigma_e = 0.01507836 , lik = 73837.11 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2952609 , tau = 6.931983 , beta = 1.080637 , sigma_e = 0.01529307 , lik = 73790.16 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2840146 , tau = 6.955074 , beta = 1.215283 , sigma_e = 0.01501716 , lik = 73836.12 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2953964 , tau = 6.35304 , beta = 1.152825 , sigma_e = 0.01486395 , lik = 73820.08 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2847662 , tau = 7.128863 , beta = 1.18298 , sigma_e = 0.01515947 , lik = 73835.38 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2839887 , tau = 7.038337 , beta = 1.167716 , sigma_e = 0.01471169 , lik = 73828.52 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2887435 , tau = 6.866495 , beta = 1.176583 , sigma_e = 0.01518277 , lik = 73837.56 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2878399 , tau = 6.88492 , beta = 1.212976 , sigma_e = 0.01519732 , lik = 73831.29 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2872934 , tau = 6.922078 , beta = 1.163289 , sigma_e = 0.01500871 , lik = 73838.16 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2912381 , tau = 6.618823 , beta = 1.168205 , sigma_e = 0.01492389 , lik = 73835.87 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2896064 , tau = 6.742806 , beta = 1.171906 , sigma_e = 0.01498244 , lik = 73838.75 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.294295 , tau = 6.700618 , beta = 1.120639 , sigma_e = 0.01505138 , lik = 73820.22 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2865505 , tau = 6.890568 , beta = 1.190954 , sigma_e = 0.01502571 , lik = 73839.83 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2985882 , tau = 6.600751 , beta = 1.187505 , sigma_e = 0.01496934 , lik = 73839.8 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2943013 , tau = 6.701098 , beta = 1.180396 , sigma_e = 0.01499652 , lik = 73839.9 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2805072 , tau = 7.057644 , beta = 1.188829 , sigma_e = 0.01515869 , lik = 73838.92 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.284863 , tau = 6.939868 , beta = 1.182742 , sigma_e = 0.01509875 , lik = 73839.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2882658 , tau = 6.810777 , beta = 1.179072 , sigma_e = 0.01486367 , lik = 73837.27 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.288624 , tau = 6.852523 , beta = 1.177205 , sigma_e = 0.01510236 , lik = 73839.32 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2902567 , tau = 6.72885 , beta = 1.198357 , sigma_e = 0.0150735 , lik = 73840.13 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2917498 , tau = 6.634268 , beta = 1.216446 , sigma_e = 0.015106 , lik = 73838.49 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.288197 , tau = 6.902028 , beta = 1.200107 , sigma_e = 0.01513657 , lik = 73837.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2892534 , tau = 6.782264 , beta = 1.178888 , sigma_e = 0.01502083 , lik = 73839.93 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2894301 , tau = 6.76358 , beta = 1.195398 , sigma_e = 0.01498391 , lik = 73840.02 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2892283 , tau = 6.785707 , beta = 1.190815 , sigma_e = 0.01501343 , lik = 73840.28 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2950408 , tau = 6.618712 , beta = 1.193015 , sigma_e = 0.01495355 , lik = 73839.52 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.287374 , tau = 6.858146 , beta = 1.185304 , sigma_e = 0.01506232 , lik = 73840.17 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2936401 , tau = 6.653502 , beta = 1.182475 , sigma_e = 0.01504088 , lik = 73840.15 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2918514 , tau = 6.711993 , beta = 1.184611 , sigma_e = 0.01503708 , lik = 73840.31 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2849523 , tau = 6.846074 , beta = 1.194683 , sigma_e = 0.01508645 , lik = 73840.29 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2872613 , tau = 6.809538 , beta = 1.191137 , sigma_e = 0.01506391 , lik = 73840.4 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2891248 , tau = 6.775012 , beta = 1.20131 , sigma_e = 0.0150793 , lik = 73839.84 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2892213 , tau = 6.78045 , beta = 1.184446 , sigma_e = 0.01503542 , lik = 73840.29 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2877138 , tau = 6.849691 , beta = 1.176319 , sigma_e = 0.01501141 , lik = 73839.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2896189 , tau = 6.758859 , beta = 1.192791 , sigma_e = 0.01505795 , lik = 73840.36 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2915059 , tau = 6.681465 , beta = 1.192231 , sigma_e = 0.01502081 , lik = 73840.52 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.293594 , tau = 6.594839 , beta = 1.19572 , sigma_e = 0.0150001 , lik = 73840.49 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2905471 , tau = 6.711105 , beta = 1.187266 , sigma_e = 0.01507268 , lik = 73840.29 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2902168 , tau = 6.729678 , beta = 1.188154 , sigma_e = 0.01505785 , lik = 73840.41 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2909538 , tau = 6.696145 , beta = 1.195162 , sigma_e = 0.01505961 , lik = 73840.49 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2905197 , tau = 6.717123 , beta = 1.192469 , sigma_e = 0.01505356 , lik = 73840.49 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2878048 , tau = 6.766509 , beta = 1.198112 , sigma_e = 0.01506455 , lik = 73840.34 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2888112 , tau = 6.752838 , beta = 1.194734 , sigma_e = 0.01505768 , lik = 73840.44 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2896995 , tau = 6.717195 , beta = 1.190701 , sigma_e = 0.01504356 , lik = 73840.55 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2897398 , tau = 6.696459 , beta = 1.189657 , sigma_e = 0.01503637 , lik = 73840.54 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2906013 , tau = 6.699306 , beta = 1.191466 , sigma_e = 0.01503218 , lik = 73840.56 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2899581 , tau = 6.723434 , beta = 1.189427 , sigma_e = 0.0150507 , lik = 73840.49 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.289255 , tau = 6.734993 , beta = 1.192716 , sigma_e = 0.01505062 , lik = 73840.53 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2901093 , tau = 6.717159 , beta = 1.191584 , sigma_e = 0.01504856 , lik = 73840.53 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.291378 , tau = 6.673902 , beta = 1.191432 , sigma_e = 0.01503651 , lik = 73840.57 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.292839 , tau = 6.629692 , beta = 1.191681 , sigma_e = 0.01502791 , lik = 73840.58 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2910392 , tau = 6.675787 , beta = 1.193843 , sigma_e = 0.01503043 , lik = 73840.59 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2915813 , tau = 6.65209 , beta = 1.196061 , sigma_e = 0.0150203 , lik = 73840.58 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2924651 , tau = 6.640833 , beta = 1.190987 , sigma_e = 0.01502245 , lik = 73840.56 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2916593 , tau = 6.664249 , beta = 1.191422 , sigma_e = 0.01502949 , lik = 73840.58 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.292226 , tau = 6.637435 , beta = 1.19206 , sigma_e = 0.01501688 , lik = 73840.57 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2916954 , tau = 6.657277 , beta = 1.191942 , sigma_e = 0.01502479 , lik = 73840.58 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2934442 , tau = 6.613653 , beta = 1.19344 , sigma_e = 0.01501438 , lik = 73840.56 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2925035 , tau = 6.639388 , beta = 1.192756 , sigma_e = 0.01502167 , lik = 73840.58 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2932981 , tau = 6.607526 , beta = 1.193191 , sigma_e = 0.01502154 , lik = 73840.61 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2946558 , tau = 6.562108 , beta = 1.194052 , sigma_e = 0.01501622 , lik = 73840.62 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2934315 , tau = 6.601374 , beta = 1.194292 , sigma_e = 0.01501892 , lik = 73840.6 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2929874 , tau = 6.617037 , beta = 1.193574 , sigma_e = 0.01502156 , lik = 73840.6 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2929554 , tau = 6.610891 , beta = 1.19357 , sigma_e = 0.01502564 , lik = 73840.63 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2931817 , tau = 6.596689 , beta = 1.193977 , sigma_e = 0.01502763 , lik = 73840.65 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2943649 , tau = 6.569059 , beta = 1.195201 , sigma_e = 0.01502365 , lik = 73840.64 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2936952 , tau = 6.591004 , beta = 1.194385 , sigma_e = 0.01502394 , lik = 73840.63 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2938255 , tau = 6.572194 , beta = 1.196877 , sigma_e = 0.01501883 , lik = 73840.64 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2935786 , tau = 6.586522 , beta = 1.195575 , sigma_e = 0.0150211 , lik = 73840.64 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2967714 , tau = 6.486112 , beta = 1.195904 , sigma_e = 0.01501168 , lik = 73840.64 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2953279 , tau = 6.53302 , beta = 1.195393 , sigma_e = 0.01501637 , lik = 73840.64 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2951114 , tau = 6.531973 , beta = 1.195908 , sigma_e = 0.01502215 , lik = 73840.67 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.295955 , tau = 6.497547 , beta = 1.196717 , sigma_e = 0.01502377 , lik = 73840.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2944028 , tau = 6.545123 , beta = 1.197216 , sigma_e = 0.01502788 , lik = 73840.69 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2944661 , tau = 6.549365 , beta = 1.196424 , sigma_e = 0.01502497 , lik = 73840.68 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954666 , tau = 6.524298 , beta = 1.194522 , sigma_e = 0.01502889 , lik = 73840.67 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2950555 , tau = 6.536239 , beta = 1.195112 , sigma_e = 0.01502638 , lik = 73840.67 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2938551 , tau = 6.564713 , beta = 1.195894 , sigma_e = 0.01503537 , lik = 73840.69 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2942226 , tau = 6.556775 , beta = 1.195769 , sigma_e = 0.01503061 , lik = 73840.68 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2946121 , tau = 6.526969 , beta = 1.196365 , sigma_e = 0.01503276 , lik = 73840.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2947358 , tau = 6.506025 , beta = 1.196948 , sigma_e = 0.01503732 , lik = 73840.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2963776 , tau = 6.472067 , beta = 1.198552 , sigma_e = 0.01503083 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2950224 , tau = 6.506195 , beta = 1.198789 , sigma_e = 0.01503387 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2950059 , tau = 6.491225 , beta = 1.200633 , sigma_e = 0.01503761 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2966911 , tau = 6.44887 , beta = 1.199903 , sigma_e = 0.01502577 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2959795 , tau = 6.477637 , beta = 1.198899 , sigma_e = 0.01502817 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2970577 , tau = 6.429954 , beta = 1.19965 , sigma_e = 0.01503241 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2963917 , tau = 6.458555 , beta = 1.199041 , sigma_e = 0.01503128 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.295674 , tau = 6.46146 , beta = 1.201083 , sigma_e = 0.01503953 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2974778 , tau = 6.41 , beta = 1.202898 , sigma_e = 0.01503167 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2967588 , tau = 6.439044 , beta = 1.201259 , sigma_e = 0.01503195 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73545.41 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73547.61 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73543.2 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73545.89 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73544.92 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73546.28 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73544.16 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73546.96 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73543.85 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73544.91 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73545.87 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73801.02 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73801.88 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73800.16 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73801.25 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73800.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73800.47 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73801.62 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73800.42 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73800.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73801.23 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73836.15 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73836.45 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73835.85 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73836.23 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73836.07 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73836.35 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73835.94 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73836.36 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73835.94 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73836.05 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73836.21 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.23 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.33 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.13 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.26 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.2 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.3 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.16 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.3 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.15 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.18 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.24 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.68 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.64 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.69 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.67 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.66 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.65 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.65 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.67 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.483416 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.457535 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2963363 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199398 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.20069 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198699 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2951533 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200581 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.201282 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.20069 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.201282 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.201984 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198699 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198001 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2954486 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01505063 , lik = 73840.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01506569 , lik = 73840.65 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.476936 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.463995 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960401 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.199694 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.200986 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.198995 , sigma_e = 0.01502056 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01500555 , lik = 73840.65 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 9.845171 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 72902.32 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73768.55 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.4499914 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.045743 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73056.28 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.719321 , sigma_e = 0.01503559 , lik = 73436.95 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2957442 , tau = 6.470463 , beta = 1.19999 , sigma_e = 0.0228775 , lik = 70745.28 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3498094 , tau = 7.653331 , beta = 1.327956 , sigma_e = 0.009881721 , lik = 66223.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3084218 , tau = 6.74783 , beta = 1.229996 , sigma_e = 0.01854661 , lik = 72988.59 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.355732 , tau = 4.32453 , beta = 1.341974 , sigma_e = 0.01635227 , lik = 73638.11 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.339681 , tau = 5.312024 , beta = 1.303983 , sigma_e = 0.01601267 , lik = 73745.98 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3545395 , tau = 5.733719 , beta = 1.339151 , sigma_e = 0.01250011 , lik = 72578.68 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3193559 , tau = 6.478615 , beta = 1.255876 , sigma_e = 0.01680455 , lik = 73546.05 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2118526 , tau = 5.982517 , beta = 1.571849 , sigma_e = 0.01612057 , lik = 73554.35 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2557564 , tau = 6.10094 , beta = 1.448958 , sigma_e = 0.0158422 , lik = 73730.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3041486 , tau = 5.843439 , beta = 0.9656147 , sigma_e = 0.01646108 , lik = 73326.91 nz = 0 , nz.p = 0
#> alpha = 0.2978233 , tau = 6.307665 , beta = 1.481301 , sigma_e = 0.01537995 , lik = 73676.91 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739054 , tau = 5.773993 , beta = 1.388749 , sigma_e = 0.01421554 , lik = 73728.24 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2846225 , tau = 5.942617 , beta = 1.355532 , sigma_e = 0.01482276 , lik = 73802.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2884305 , tau = 5.790732 , beta = 1.144953 , sigma_e = 0.0153047 , lik = 73782.17 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2907505 , tau = 5.915851 , beta = 1.219138 , sigma_e = 0.01532348 , lik = 73828.63 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3535501 , tau = 5.913621 , beta = 1.069967 , sigma_e = 0.01466159 , lik = 73765.23 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.326058 , tau = 5.959904 , beta = 1.160914 , sigma_e = 0.01494823 , lik = 73824.59 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2618759 , tau = 7.11184 , beta = 1.155259 , sigma_e = 0.01411182 , lik = 73736.35 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3182932 , tau = 5.714003 , beta = 1.263968 , sigma_e = 0.01551471 , lik = 73811.23 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3097526 , tau = 5.555315 , beta = 1.279337 , sigma_e = 0.01521863 , lik = 73796.01 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3061895 , tau = 5.77119 , beta = 1.258771 , sigma_e = 0.01517266 , lik = 73829.47 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3313985 , tau = 5.97835 , beta = 1.094133 , sigma_e = 0.01558189 , lik = 73778.07 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2956579 , tau = 5.95153 , beta = 1.286574 , sigma_e = 0.015009 , lik = 73829.02 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2877248 , tau = 6.319662 , beta = 1.187306 , sigma_e = 0.01469092 , lik = 73825.9 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.29508 , tau = 6.16248 , beta = 1.205719 , sigma_e = 0.01489267 , lik = 73838.01 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2698781 , tau = 6.140469 , beta = 1.305255 , sigma_e = 0.01522495 , lik = 73805.69 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3110019 , tau = 6.004542 , beta = 1.197308 , sigma_e = 0.01501693 , lik = 73838.85 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3109131 , tau = 6.223127 , beta = 1.239166 , sigma_e = 0.01473255 , lik = 73825.4 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2956652 , tau = 5.991218 , beta = 1.224124 , sigma_e = 0.01517356 , lik = 73837.23 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3057555 , tau = 6.202286 , beta = 1.15111 , sigma_e = 0.01510698 , lik = 73826.89 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2981506 , tau = 6.013252 , beta = 1.251278 , sigma_e = 0.01503344 , lik = 73837.01 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3026082 , tau = 5.945826 , beta = 1.236885 , sigma_e = 0.01510125 , lik = 73837.27 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3017757 , tau = 6.212262 , beta = 1.175492 , sigma_e = 0.01505399 , lik = 73837.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3008653 , tau = 6.1619 , beta = 1.193964 , sigma_e = 0.01504885 , lik = 73839.9 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3064422 , tau = 6.305564 , beta = 1.18931 , sigma_e = 0.01486582 , lik = 73837.7 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3037117 , tau = 6.225464 , beta = 1.197996 , sigma_e = 0.01494216 , lik = 73839.88 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2998475 , tau = 6.471585 , beta = 1.162668 , sigma_e = 0.01487385 , lik = 73834.93 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3019156 , tau = 6.073119 , beta = 1.217774 , sigma_e = 0.01504408 , lik = 73839.93 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3103271 , tau = 6.207688 , beta = 1.196909 , sigma_e = 0.01514332 , lik = 73839.03 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.306443 , tau = 6.196355 , beta = 1.19918 , sigma_e = 0.01508026 , lik = 73840.39 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2927056 , tau = 6.451609 , beta = 1.205961 , sigma_e = 0.01504331 , lik = 73838.28 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3063233 , tau = 6.113317 , beta = 1.199567 , sigma_e = 0.01502352 , lik = 73840.4 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.30076 , tau = 6.177578 , beta = 1.206166 , sigma_e = 0.01515146 , lik = 73839.35 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.302971 , tau = 6.213458 , beta = 1.200039 , sigma_e = 0.01499421 , lik = 73840.55 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3044535 , tau = 6.26214 , beta = 1.212761 , sigma_e = 0.01502218 , lik = 73839.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3017584 , tau = 6.186809 , beta = 1.19862 , sigma_e = 0.01504218 , lik = 73840.53 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3022689 , tau = 6.15348 , beta = 1.208598 , sigma_e = 0.0150396 , lik = 73840.56 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2972148 , tau = 6.256291 , beta = 1.203494 , sigma_e = 0.01497395 , lik = 73840.14 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3010461 , tau = 6.331926 , beta = 1.19962 , sigma_e = 0.01505791 , lik = 73840.65 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2989888 , tau = 6.309981 , beta = 1.204283 , sigma_e = 0.0150376 , lik = 73840.69 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.3009873 , tau = 6.289355 , beta = 1.199812 , sigma_e = 0.01502956 , lik = 73840.65 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2993358 , tau = 6.340658 , beta = 1.200029 , sigma_e = 0.01501489 , lik = 73840.68 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2987362 , tau = 6.327046 , beta = 1.199318 , sigma_e = 0.01503888 , lik = 73840.67 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2964786 , tau = 6.362476 , beta = 1.20174 , sigma_e = 0.01500474 , lik = 73840.58 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2998977 , tau = 6.339549 , beta = 1.200156 , sigma_e = 0.0150446 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2961066 , tau = 6.425941 , beta = 1.201682 , sigma_e = 0.01503906 , lik = 73840.61 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2997596 , tau = 6.323227 , beta = 1.200286 , sigma_e = 0.01503193 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2987464 , tau = 6.386118 , beta = 1.202585 , sigma_e = 0.01502696 , lik = 73840.69 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2987438 , tau = 6.371299 , beta = 1.201767 , sigma_e = 0.01502994 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2979119 , tau = 6.384708 , beta = 1.202564 , sigma_e = 0.015057 , lik = 73840.68 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2989792 , tau = 6.351642 , beta = 1.200664 , sigma_e = 0.01502541 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2982539 , tau = 6.432659 , beta = 1.196883 , sigma_e = 0.01502939 , lik = 73840.65 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2988049 , tau = 6.340429 , beta = 1.202427 , sigma_e = 0.01503554 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2971075 , tau = 6.426164 , beta = 1.201713 , sigma_e = 0.0150365 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2977683 , tau = 6.400273 , beta = 1.201358 , sigma_e = 0.01503536 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2988837 , tau = 6.365627 , beta = 1.200736 , sigma_e = 0.0150386 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2967335 , tau = 6.437896 , beta = 1.201987 , sigma_e = 0.01504507 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2972933 , tau = 6.416223 , beta = 1.201658 , sigma_e = 0.01504015 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2963897 , tau = 6.436097 , beta = 1.200842 , sigma_e = 0.01504462 , lik = 73840.71 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2981535 , tau = 6.387437 , beta = 1.201537 , sigma_e = 0.01503361 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2960706 , tau = 6.486569 , beta = 1.199829 , sigma_e = 0.01503823 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2967518 , tau = 6.449722 , beta = 1.200478 , sigma_e = 0.01503756 , lik = 73840.73 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2951461 , tau = 6.4949 , beta = 1.201405 , sigma_e = 0.01503476 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2932949 , tau = 6.560518 , beta = 1.201725 , sigma_e = 0.01503285 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2939309 , tau = 6.542318 , beta = 1.200685 , sigma_e = 0.01503945 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2949809 , tau = 6.503249 , beta = 1.200901 , sigma_e = 0.01503799 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2934432 , tau = 6.563866 , beta = 1.200179 , sigma_e = 0.01503263 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2915368 , tau = 6.638956 , beta = 1.199431 , sigma_e = 0.01502888 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.291412 , tau = 6.639672 , beta = 1.199207 , sigma_e = 0.01503323 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2886053 , tau = 6.749071 , beta = 1.197938 , sigma_e = 0.0150316 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2910323 , tau = 6.662658 , beta = 1.200612 , sigma_e = 0.0150332 , lik = 73840.75 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2887046 , tau = 6.760887 , beta = 1.200901 , sigma_e = 0.015032 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2868721 , tau = 6.811252 , beta = 1.20025 , sigma_e = 0.01502901 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2893108 , tau = 6.719013 , beta = 1.200329 , sigma_e = 0.01503114 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2868229 , tau = 6.823928 , beta = 1.199904 , sigma_e = 0.01502294 , lik = 73840.74 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2885836 , tau = 6.752409 , beta = 1.20011 , sigma_e = 0.01502706 , lik = 73840.75 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.285589 , tau = 6.883925 , beta = 1.198224 , sigma_e = 0.01502722 , lik = 73840.75 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2874962 , tau = 6.801609 , beta = 1.199107 , sigma_e = 0.01502863 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2857116 , tau = 6.868774 , beta = 1.200382 , sigma_e = 0.0150311 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2871569 , tau = 6.810584 , beta = 1.200153 , sigma_e = 0.01503054 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2841572 , tau = 6.938212 , beta = 1.200964 , sigma_e = 0.01502566 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2859538 , tau = 6.862341 , beta = 1.200539 , sigma_e = 0.01502755 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2858934 , tau = 6.866586 , beta = 1.200267 , sigma_e = 0.01503203 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2845577 , tau = 6.924397 , beta = 1.200339 , sigma_e = 0.01503451 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2857978 , tau = 6.865877 , beta = 1.201768 , sigma_e = 0.01503282 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2862215 , tau = 6.849754 , beta = 1.201103 , sigma_e = 0.01503177 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2861595 , tau = 6.871632 , beta = 1.200968 , sigma_e = 0.01503354 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2863375 , tau = 6.856487 , beta = 1.200789 , sigma_e = 0.01503241 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2854781 , tau = 6.896881 , beta = 1.201389 , sigma_e = 0.01503321 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2858969 , tau = 6.875205 , beta = 1.201081 , sigma_e = 0.01503254 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2860873 , tau = 6.861412 , beta = 1.20074 , sigma_e = 0.01503028 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2827269 , tau = 7.002765 , beta = 1.200893 , sigma_e = 0.01503332 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2842096 , tau = 6.941496 , beta = 1.200903 , sigma_e = 0.01503299 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2837819 , tau = 6.973264 , beta = 1.200629 , sigma_e = 0.01503418 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2825699 , tau = 7.035851 , beta = 1.200387 , sigma_e = 0.01503538 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2825135 , tau = 7.031676 , beta = 1.200846 , sigma_e = 0.01503771 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2834027 , tau = 6.988718 , beta = 1.200822 , sigma_e = 0.01503585 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2813506 , tau = 7.068828 , beta = 1.200553 , sigma_e = 0.01503537 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2789766 , tau = 7.169538 , beta = 1.200325 , sigma_e = 0.01503628 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2794353 , tau = 7.153029 , beta = 1.199709 , sigma_e = 0.01503693 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2809339 , tau = 7.088114 , beta = 1.200135 , sigma_e = 0.015036 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2814374 , tau = 7.079093 , beta = 1.19992 , sigma_e = 0.01503788 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2807948 , tau = 7.117569 , beta = 1.199433 , sigma_e = 0.01504017 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2781416 , tau = 7.238443 , beta = 1.200082 , sigma_e = 0.01503896 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2829399 , tau = 7.001607 , beta = 1.200284 , sigma_e = 0.01503562 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2790927 , tau = 7.177111 , beta = 1.1994 , sigma_e = 0.01503753 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.280164 , tau = 7.129542 , beta = 1.199759 , sigma_e = 0.01503711 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2785323 , tau = 7.185942 , beta = 1.199441 , sigma_e = 0.01503886 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2765351 , tau = 7.262184 , beta = 1.198956 , sigma_e = 0.01504059 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2783914 , tau = 7.202518 , beta = 1.199231 , sigma_e = 0.01504008 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2771287 , tau = 7.26041 , beta = 1.198775 , sigma_e = 0.01504211 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741325 , tau = 7.398142 , beta = 1.198436 , sigma_e = 0.01504305 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2763083 , tau = 7.296951 , beta = 1.198913 , sigma_e = 0.01504119 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2769603 , tau = 7.275943 , beta = 1.197873 , sigma_e = 0.01504436 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.277463 , tau = 7.249195 , beta = 1.198486 , sigma_e = 0.01504234 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2761974 , tau = 7.297378 , beta = 1.198427 , sigma_e = 0.01504503 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2769184 , tau = 7.267124 , beta = 1.198672 , sigma_e = 0.01504316 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2727164 , tau = 7.432226 , beta = 1.197955 , sigma_e = 0.01504434 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2747139 , tau = 7.352281 , beta = 1.198338 , sigma_e = 0.0150433 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2765037 , tau = 7.271457 , beta = 1.198282 , sigma_e = 0.01504416 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2764548 , tau = 7.277822 , beta = 1.19844 , sigma_e = 0.01504342 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2762448 , tau = 7.312557 , beta = 1.198032 , sigma_e = 0.01504589 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2763174 , tau = 7.299931 , beta = 1.198263 , sigma_e = 0.01504456 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2748657 , tau = 7.346126 , beta = 1.198408 , sigma_e = 0.01504503 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2735762 , tau = 7.395076 , beta = 1.198363 , sigma_e = 0.01504638 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2771558 , tau = 7.25996 , beta = 1.19857 , sigma_e = 0.0150453 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2765433 , tau = 7.282931 , beta = 1.198513 , sigma_e = 0.0150448 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2758053 , tau = 7.308786 , beta = 1.198518 , sigma_e = 0.01504348 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2756094 , tau = 7.314496 , beta = 1.198563 , sigma_e = 0.0150427 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2752111 , tau = 7.343174 , beta = 1.198554 , sigma_e = 0.0150448 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2755215 , tau = 7.326782 , beta = 1.198526 , sigma_e = 0.01504446 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2750305 , tau = 7.331694 , beta = 1.198835 , sigma_e = 0.01504362 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2753517 , tau = 7.32374 , beta = 1.198692 , sigma_e = 0.01504385 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2743315 , tau = 7.365251 , beta = 1.198654 , sigma_e = 0.015043 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2726433 , tau = 7.430588 , beta = 1.198334 , sigma_e = 0.01504604 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2737578 , tau = 7.387673 , beta = 1.198449 , sigma_e = 0.01504506 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2762572 , tau = 7.292353 , beta = 1.198788 , sigma_e = 0.01504125 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2755844 , tau = 7.317899 , beta = 1.198683 , sigma_e = 0.01504253 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2745686 , tau = 7.361034 , beta = 1.198459 , sigma_e = 0.01504324 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2763366 , tau = 7.294201 , beta = 1.198655 , sigma_e = 0.01504119 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2748923 , tau = 7.341722 , beta = 1.198635 , sigma_e = 0.01504048 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2750495 , tau = 7.337984 , beta = 1.198607 , sigma_e = 0.01504148 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.394526 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.365007 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.75 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2747268 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.197793 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.19904 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.197095 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2736301 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198889 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.199589 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.197644 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.19904 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.199589 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.200289 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.197095 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.197644 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.196398 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.75 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.01505799 , lik = 73840.76 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01507306 , lik = 73840.69 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.387135 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.77 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.372376 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2744523 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198067 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2739039 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198616 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.199315 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.19737 , sigma_e = 0.0150279 , lik = 73840.78 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01504294 , lik = 73840.79 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> alpha = 0.2741779 , tau = 7.379752 , beta = 1.198342 , sigma_e = 0.01501288 , lik = 73840.72 nz = 8 , nz.p = 7
#> Warning in rspde_lme(y ~ -1, loc = "loc", repl = "rep", data = data, model =
#> op, : All optimization methods failed to provide a numerically
#> positive-definite Hessian. The optimization method with largest likelihood was
#> chosen. You can try to obtain a positive-definite Hessian by setting
#> 'improve_hessian' to TRUE.
# Compare estimated and true parameter values
rbind(c(fit$coeff$random_effects[c("alpha", "beta", "tau", "kappa")], fit$coeff$measurement_error),
c(alpha, beta, tau, kappa, sigma.e))
#> alpha beta tau kappa std. dev
#> [1,] 0.2741779 1.198342 7.379752 16.42387 0.01504294
#> [2,] 0.3000000 1.200000 7.000000 15.00000 0.01500000